Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.226840 0.257797 0.290967 0.329097 0.371663 0.417662 0.471077
2025-11-02 0.188910 0.230990 0.279025 0.337717 0.407286 0.486896 0.584665
2025-11-09 0.156758 0.204373 0.261801 0.335747 0.427968 0.538687 0.681121
2025-11-16 0.133053 0.183768 0.248021 0.334675 0.447658 0.589049 0.778320
2025-11-23 0.114415 0.166605 0.235754 0.332989 0.464904 0.636158 0.873548
2025-11-30 0.102621 0.156734 0.231372 0.340302 0.493346 0.698517 0.991674
2025-12-07 0.090696 0.144967 0.222729 0.340255 0.510858 0.746472 1.092653
2025-12-14 0.080767 0.134759 0.214941 0.340135 0.527445 0.793300 1.193994
2025-12-21 0.072550 0.126078 0.208299 0.340655 0.544325 0.840799 1.298237
2025-12-28 0.066640 0.120286 0.205311 0.346085 0.568361 0.899452 1.421268
2026-01-04 0.062149 0.116256 0.204562 0.354646 0.597335 0.966566 1.559927
2026-01-11 0.057162 0.110776 0.200847 0.357914 0.617866 1.021577 1.682664
2026-01-18 0.053306 0.107015 0.199878 0.365975 0.647224 1.092881 1.836147
2026-01-25 0.050179 0.104217 0.200258 0.376239 0.680744 1.172484 2.006837
2026-02-01 0.045525 0.098009 0.194032 0.374494 0.693870 1.219864 2.128343
2026-02-08 0.041505 0.092541 0.188582 0.373544 0.708050 1.269417 2.255544
2026-02-15 0.037822 0.087297 0.183014 0.371811 0.720520 1.316471 2.380585
2026-02-22 0.035709 0.085030 0.182850 0.379956 0.750890 1.395119 2.562127
2026-03-01 0.032867 0.080874 0.178598 0.379943 0.766288 1.448553 2.702943
2026-03-08 0.030294 0.076990 0.174505 0.379832 0.781326 1.501862 2.845721
2026-03-15 0.028032 0.073532 0.170944 0.380417 0.797555 1.557860 2.995495
2026-03-22 0.026463 0.071489 0.170134 0.386420 0.824396 1.634085 3.184395
2026-03-29 0.025306 0.070289 0.171001 0.395876 0.858412 1.724865 3.403248